HD For Indies

I'll preface this with "I don't care who wins - I just want it over".

I have a lot of experience with Gartner. Their track record on predicting tech is crap.

Remember the mantra - Media hype - Media hype - I won't buy into it... Media hype...
 

Blu may eventually win, but no one at Gartner would know either way. In the last few years it's amazing how the number of media "analysts" have grown to almost dwarf the real media. They quote each other to prove their points. Mike obviously has his own good gig going with his production consulting business. But please with crystal ball stuff.
 

I generally agree with the "you can't call it" factor, but I see no reason why HD DVD can/will make a comeback at this point - can anybody make a compelling argument as to why HD DVD will win at this point?

I'm all ears.

My early prediction that cost would be a decisive factor hasn't panned out. Picture quality is arguably the same for both, looking at what has actually been deployed into the field.

So studio support and media sales seem to be the leading factors, and Blu-ray is winning on that front (or am I making a tautology?).

-mike the blogger
 

Blu-Ray may beat HD-DVD now, but ultimately it's doomed format (as far as film delivery goes). It will never build a big enough customer base before downloading wipes it out.
 

I'm pretty sure Gartner will be proved right. The reason for this is that if people keep on "predicting" something, it will happen. After reading this article, you're not exactly going to rush out and buy an HD DVD player are you? Of course not. So sales will drop. Then, next month, an "analyst" will notice the massive drop, write an article on it, and cause another massive drop in sales. And so on.

So it's as good as dead, really. I feel bad for you, Mike.
 

All logic would lead one to believe that Blu-ray has won and HD-DVD is gasping its last few breaths. But logic aside, HD-DVD is still dead because its death has become a self-fulfilling prophecy thanks to the punditry and the blogosphere. Fortunately, the majority of my disc collection to date is Blu-ray. I only have about 10 HD-DVD titles. I do plan on keeping my Tosh HD-XA2 though, for its outstanding SD upconversion, though my PS3 certainly isn't bad in that regard. Both are better than my Oppo 981 that's gathering dust on a shelf...

Aloha